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Mechanisches Boardstärke-Modell: Statsheet aus cdragon-Exaktdaten, sqrt(eHP×DPS), Tier-Anker, Tau-Fit

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A/B auf 38 Holdout-Matches: mechanical 0.724 vs legacy 0.695. Promotion durchgeführt.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
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team3
2026-07-23 08:52:56 +02:00
parent 7c72761190
commit c450841822
10 changed files with 605 additions and 31 deletions
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5
backend/tft/constants/set17.toml
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@@ -75,6 +75,7 @@ hp_multiplier = 1.8
ad_multiplier = 1.5
[combat]
# p_win = 1 / (1 + exp(-(score_a - score_b) / tau)); tau wird in M6 kalibriert.
tau = 0.15
# p_win = 1 / (1 + exp(-(score_a - score_b) / tau)).
# tau = 0.28: Log-Loss-Fit über 1064 Holdout-Platzierungspaare (mechanical Scorer).
tau = 0.28
variance = 0.08